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Arkansas Farm Bureau Daily Commodity Report

Grain & Soybean Date: March 9, 2010

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(March) EAST AR:  885 to 918
(NC) Summ. 876 to 898
River Elevators:
(March) MISS: 894 to 949 ; AR & White 879 to 889
(NC) Summ. 871 to 908
Ark. Processor Bids: (March) 893 to 905  (NC) 883 to 886
Memphis:  (March) 952 1/2 to 957 1/2 (NC)  907 1/2 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (March) Stuttgart 895 ; Pendleton 888 ; West Memphis 941

Chicago Futures:Maydown1/2at 947 1/2
 July unchanged at 956
 Septdown2 1/2 at 938 1/2
 Novdown3 1/2 at 927 1/2
 Jandown3 3/4 at 936 1/4
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans traded lower throughout the session. A stronger dollar and lower crude oil added pressure as did large South American crop prospects. While a big crop has been anticipated, it seems to be growing as Brazil raised its estimate to 67.57 million metric tonnes. Argentina’s crop is expected to also increase from the current 53 mmt projection. USDA could reduce the ’09 U.S. production estimate, but at best only by a little. Exports could increase.

Wheat
Cash bid for March at Memphis  439 1/2 to 469 1/2;
Bids to farmers at Local Elevators442-464;
River Elevators454-487;

Chicago Futures:Maydown 5 1/2 at 489 1/2 
 Julydown5 1/2 at 502 1/4 
 Septdown 4 1/2 at 518 1/4 
 Decdown at 545 1/4 
 March 2011down 3 3/4 at 570 
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for March at Memphis  654 to -- -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators498-573;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn
Cash bid for March at Memphis   365 to 369;
 New Crop at Memphis   368 3/4 to 370 3/4;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators 335 to 364

Chicago Futures:Maydown at 369 
 Septdown 6 1/2 at 388 3/4 
 Decdown at 397 
 March 2011down at 407 3/4 
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat turned lower today. There isn’t anything new influencing the market at this point. Big world stocks continue to offset potential impact of smaller 2010 U.S. plantings. With a stocks to use ratio of almost 49%, upside remains limited. A July close below $5 would signal another leg lower in this market.<br><br>Corn was under even greater pressure than beans. U.S. export movement has been slow and the trade is anticipating a downward adjustment. While the ’09 production number will likely be lowered, stocks should be about steady. FAPRI has also projected 2010 plantings at 89.6 million acres with production at 13.13 billion bushels. A retest of September support at $3.78 is possible if USDA adjustments for production are less than 70 million bushels.



Cotton & Rice  Date: March 9, 2010


Cotton
Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 171 at  7583
 Greenwood down  171 at 7583

New York Futures:Maydown 171 at 8033 
 Julydown 192 at 8062 
 Octup at 7638 
 Decup 10 at 7537 
 March 2011down 11 at 7631 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is 0¢ cents
 The estimate for next week is 0¢ cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton closed mixed with old crop sharply lower and new crop slightly higher. A smaller Chinese crop and increased mill demand is pushing the market higher. USDA adjusted U.S. export projections higher by a million bales in the February report. Another adjustment could be made in Wednesday’s report. December could retest the contract highs at 78.25 cents at some point. Today’s trade narrowed the spread between old and new crop and suggests the market has significant pressure at 80 cents or higher.

Rice
Long Grain Cash Bid for Mar/April1217/cwt to - - -
 - - -- - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:Mayup at 1302 
 Julyup at 1331 1/2 
 Septup at 1299 
 Novup 2 1/2 at 1312 1/2 
 - - - - - - at - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice made a small rebound today but remains in a sharp downtrend. Yesterday’s close below $13 leaves the next chart support at $11.75 on the weekly charts. Further technical weakness appears probable. A weaker international market and probable increase in 2010 U.S. plantings continue to weigh on the charts.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: March 9, 2010

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1805 head at sales in Heber Springs & Fort Smith.  Compared with last week, feeder steers were firm to $5 higher .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1  400to450 lbs.125.50to- - -
 500to550 lbs.118.50to- - -
 600to650 lbs.107.50to- - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2  450to500 lbs.110.50to- - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1  500to550 lbs.100.50to- - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2  500to550 lbs.97to- - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 46   to   53
Light Weight 32 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   58   to   66
Midwest Steers   were $1 to $2 lower   at   90   to   91
Panhandle Steers   were $1 to $2 lower   at   90   to   91

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers500to550 lbs.118to126
 550to600 lbs.112to119
Heifers500to550 lbs.106to113
 550to600 lbs.103to109.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle:Aprilup20at9440
 Juneup5at9232
Feeders:Aprilup2at10602
 Maydown2at10660

Cattle Comment
April live cattle futures moved higher again today, with a move to resistance at $95 a strong possibility. The market is overbought technically, plus it is trading at a nearly $2 premium to cash. That could limit further gains near term. Seasonal factors tend to be negative also.

Hogs
Peoria: were 50¢ higher to $2     lower   at   46   to   48

Chicago Futures:Aprildown40at7240
 Junedown97at8047

Sheep
St. Paul - - -   at   - - -   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures were lower again today after April failed to penetrate resistance near $74 late last week. Packer margins are extremely tight despite increased pork demand. Tightening hog supplies suggest USDA over estimated this year’s numbers and that should support a stronger market as we move forward.



Poultry  Date: March 9, 2010

Eggs
New York: Ex. Lg. 136-140; Lg. 134-138; Med. 113-117;
Chicago: Ex. Lg. 116-124; Lg. 114-122; Med. 100-108;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens:8-16 lbs83
Toms:16-24 lbs83
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
The market tone was at least steady. Demand was mostly moderate for early week trading. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy current trade needs. In the parts structure, movement was light to instances good. In production areas live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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