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Arkansas Farm Bureau Daily Commodity Report

Grain & Soybean Date: September 05, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Sep) EAST AR:  n/a to - - -
(NC) Summ. 1069 to 1118
River Elevators:
(Sep) MISS: 1087 to 1144 ; AR & White 1110 to 1130
(NC) Summ. 1087 to 1139
Ark. Processor Bids: (Sep) n/a to - - -  (NC) 1107 to 1115
Memphis:  (Sep) 1132 to 1157 (NC)  1127 to 1131
Riceland Foods:  (Sep) Stuttgart 1118 ; Pendleton 1121 ; West Memphis 1139

Chicago Futures:Novdown58at 1177
 Jan '09 down 58 1/4 at 1193 3/4
 Mar '09down57 3/4 at 1206 3/4
 May '09down57 at 1215 1/2
 Nov '09down59 1/4 at 1168 1/4
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans finished this short week of trading at $1.50 lower. Much of the decline can be attributed to futures declined and the dollar continued to strengthen. This week’s export numbers indicate the stronger dollar is cutting in to demand. End of the year marketing tally also suggests an upward adjustment 20-25 million bushels in ending stocks is likely. Technically, November is testing key support around $41.73. The next major support is at $10.60. Corn was also lower for the week with overall losses of 35 cents. A retest of support at the recent low of $5.05 is likely.

Wheat
Cash bid for September at Memphis  531 1/2 to 540 1/2;
Bids to farmers at Local Elevators552;
River Elevators552-557;

Chicago Futures:Decdown 25 1/2 at 751 1/2 
 Mar '09down26 at 774 3/4 
 May '09down 27 at 788 1/2 
 Jul '09down 26 1/2 at 801 3/4 
 Sep '09down 25 3/4 at 818 1/2 
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for September at Memphis  837 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators721-838;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn
Cash bid for September at Memphis   510 1/2 to 513 1/2;
 new crop at Memphis   n/a to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators 483 to 507

Chicago Futures:Decdown 17 3/4 at 531 1/2 
 Mar '09down 16 at 567 1/4 
 May '09down 16 at 579 1/4 
 Dec '09down 15 at 585 
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat futures gapped to new lows for the move. Weaker crude oil prices and the stronger dollar, however, are limiting the upside potential. Exports for last week were above trade expectations at 16 million bushels, but that is not an impressive total. The very wide Gulf basis has indicated for some time that U.S. wheat was overpriced on the global market, and the improving dollar has not helped that situation.



Cotton & Rice  Date: September 05, 2008


Cotton
Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 272 at  5876
 Greenwood down  272 at 5876

New York Futures:Octdown 228 at 6370 
 Decdown 253 at 6593 
 Mar '09down 265 at 7034 
 May '09down 121 at 7400 
 Jul '09down 248 at 7509 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is 0 cents
 The estimate for next week is 0 cents
Cotton Comment
December cotton dipped below recent support just under 67 cents and closed sharply lower. This suggests further declines are possible despite the impacts of recent weather. Hurricane Gustav added to potential crop problems in the Midsouth. Earlier rains from Hurricane Faye hit the crop with a period of rain, lower temperatures and prolonged cloudy conditions. Gustav will add to potential yield and quality concerns. Longer term, any cut in this year’s production will tighten stocks next year.

Rice
Long Grain Cash Bid for n/a- - - to - - -
 n/a- - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:Novup 14 at 1910 
 Jan '09up 14 at 1940 
 Mar '09up 14 at 1970 
 May '09up 16 at 1998 
 - - - - - - at - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice was the only grain with positive numbers for today and for the week. A firmer undertone in the international market and concern about the impact of Hurricane Gustav on the Midsouth crop provided support. Vietnam has raised their Minimum Export Price back to $650 per tonne as export shipments against prior sales continue at a strong pace. In Thailand, the Government Intervention Program is providing support around $700 per tonne. Overall market conditions are rather quiet. That is also the case here as buyers await the new crop. Current support for November futures starts around $17.60, the next upside objective is $19.22 and then $19.94.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: September 05, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 3,165 head at sales in Arkansas this week.  Compared with last week, feeder steers n/a .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame n/a  - - -to- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
 - - -to- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
 - - -to- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
 Medium & Large Frame n/a  - - -to- - - lbs.- - -to- - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame n/a  - - -to- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
 Medium & Large Frame n/a  - - -to- - - lbs.- - -to- - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners n/a   to   - - -
Light Weight n/a to - - -
Bulls, Yield Grade   n/a   - - -   to   - - - lbs.   - - -   to   - - -
Midwest Steers   were $2 higher   at   99   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   were $2 higher   at   99   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers500to550 lbs.113to117.50
 600to650 lbs.109.78to120.50
Heifers500to550 lbs.100to109.75
 600to650 lbs.96to111.25

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle:Decdown35at10495
 Febdown30at10580
Feeders:Novup25at11022
 Janup40at11027

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were mixed. Fund liquidation has driven the market lower in recent days. Sharp losses in corn are sparking worries about large feedlot placements this fall.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   45.5   to   46

Chicago Futures:Decdown22at6817
 Febdown10at7612

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were mostly lower. October hogs have seen weakness after failing to break through resistance at the top of the recent chart gap of $70.50. Upside potential is limited by heavy supplies of pork and weak wholesale values.



Poultry  Date: September 05, 2008

Eggs
New York: Ex. Lg. 131-135; Lg. 129-133; Med. 95-99;
Chicago: Ex. Lg. 121-129; Lg. 119-127; Med. 86-94;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens:8-16 lbs.97-100
Toms:16-24 lbs.97-100
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was about steady. Demand entering the weekend was light to fair with interest not meeting expectations. Supplies of all sizes were more than sufficient and often discounted to help move. In productions areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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